If you looked over all of the monthly and weekly charts I posted this past weekend you'll be aware that things look increasingly bearish in the mid-term (3-9 month view).
The daily cycles though are very mixed and confusing. It could be understandable why someone would be suggesting 100% long right now....and yet at the same time, there are bear flags growing on many of the daily charts.
The 'rainbow' charts are also a real mix, we have a confirmed buy signal on the Transports index, but most of the other indexes are neutral, except for Nasdaq which remains an outright sell.
Daily cycles...
IWM, daily
Dow, daily
The daily cycles though are very mixed and confusing. It could be understandable why someone would be suggesting 100% long right now....and yet at the same time, there are bear flags growing on many of the daily charts.
The 'rainbow' charts are also a real mix, we have a confirmed buy signal on the Transports index, but most of the other indexes are neutral, except for Nasdaq which remains an outright sell.
Daily cycles...
IWM, daily
Dow, daily
NYSE Comp, daily
Nasdaq Comp, daily
Transports, daily
Sp, daily
-
Summary
There are very clear bear flags on the daily cycles. The transports is now the strongest index, with the only buy signal in my view (although yes, a 'buy signal' is a highly subjective issue amongst the chartists))
I would guess -and it is my best guess, we'll cycle up for a few days..to max out the 60min cycle (1395/1405) before we break lower..to around sp'1340 sometime next week.
Right now...pretty clear sell stops for the serious money...
Bulls...1357
Bears....1422 ...although of course, many might want a lot tighter than that..1410/15..maybe.
-
*one final posting to come today, due around 9pm EST....not sure on what aspect yet..maybe Oil/Commodities.
No comments:
Post a Comment